Crude Oil Costs Might Pull Again However Provide Gaps Are Nonetheless in Play


  • Crude oil prices principally ignoring Fed-themed macro, provide/demand gaps in focus
  • Pullback potential amid risk-off commerce however lasting bearish progress could also be tough
  • Breaking key resistance under $93/bbl would possibly expose the coveted $100/bbl determine

Crude oil prices have seemingly paid little heed to macro forces lately. As a substitute, the main target has been on a provide/demand imbalance that noticed world output fall wanting consumption by a mean of 1.four million barrels per day final yr. That has introduced cumulative worldwide inventories to the bottom in seven years.

The WTI benchmark had one other spirited intraday rally arrested Friday as blowout US jobs information stoked Fed price hike hypothesis and drove up the US Dollar, however a downward reversal was tellingly absent. Costs are denominated in USD phrases on world markets, so the forex’s rise applies de-facto strain.

Trying forward, a little bit of re-engagement with broader sentiment traits within the absence of something notable on the financial calendar appears to be afoot. WTI is edging decrease alongside bellwether S&P 500 futures, suggesting {that a} risk-off tilt could translate right into a pullback. The case for follow-through appears suspect for now nevertheless.


Costs are testing resistance capped at 92.72, a barrier courting again eight years. Breaking above it on a every day closing foundation appears prone to set the stage for a check of the coveted $100/bbl determine. Preliminary help is anchored at 84.65, with sellers most likely eyeing the swing backside at 81.90 thereafter.

Crude Oil Prices May Pull Back But Supply Gaps Are Still in Play

Crude oil value chart created utilizing TradingView


— Written by Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC for DailyFX

To contact Ilya, use the feedback part under or @IlyaSpivak on Twitter

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