The upcoming financial coverage assertion from the European Central financial institution is subsequent up as a possible foreign exchange catalyst, making the consolidation in EUR/AUD one to look at for short-term alternatives.
Earlier than shifting on, ICYMI, right this moment’s Every day U.S. Session Watchlist checked out AUD/CAD ahead of the Bank of Canada monetary policy statement, so make sure to verify that out to see if there’s nonetheless a possible play!
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Contemporary Market Headlines & Financial Information:
Upcoming Potential Catalysts on the Economic Calendar
API Crude Oil stock change at 8:30 pm GMT
New Zealand Manufacturing Gross sales at 10:45 pm GMT
Japan M2 Cash Provide at 11:50 pm GMT
China Inflation Price at 1:30 am GMT (Sept. 9)
German Commerce Steadiness at 6:00 am GMT (Sept. 9)
Japan Machine Device Orders at 6:00 am GMT (Sept. 9)
RBA Debelle speech at 8:35 am GMT (Sept. 9)
European Central Financial institution Price Choice at 11:45 am GMT (Sept. 9)
When you’re not aware of the foreign exchange market’s major buying and selling periods, take a look at our Forex Market Hours software.
What to Watch: EUR/AUD
On the one hour chart of EUR/AUD above, we will see the market going into consolidation mode after a brief bounce from the 1.5950 minor psychological space. That is the kind of conduct that units up completely for these seeking to play an explosion in volatility and probably a powerful momentum transfer, a situation which may be sparked by the upcoming financial coverage assertion from the European Central Financial institution.
Expectations are for no changes to interest rates or the ECB’s bond purchasing programs, so merchants will possible be watching development/inflation forecasts and plans for quantitative easing in 2022 for directional cues.
Once more, the tight consolidation sample units up for a “news straddle” technique, the place the dealer doesn’t have a bias and seeking to catch momentum on a spread break.
For individuals who are wanting on the general developments, the plain technical swing/place setup is to search for a possibility to promote EUR/AUD given the pattern decrease. And if the market does pop greater on the occasion, merchants might look to the damaged assist space round 1.6100 – 1.6125 for bearish reversal patterns earlier than hopping in.
If the market breaks under the present consolidation space round 1.6050, then a sustained break under 1.6000 might attract technical sellers, seeking to goal the earlier swing low round 1.5950 for short-term features. That space is a powerful one to look at as nicely to doubtlessly regulate a longer-term quick place, both to roll down stops and/or add to the position to reduce risk and maximize potential gains.