With the tip of 2021 just some days away, it’s time to have a look some potential themes to observe for the brand new 12 months, in addition to our typical spherical of wacky predictions we’d prefer to see in 2022. However earlier than testing our fast ideas on 2022, be sure that to try our extremely brief take on 2021.
Extra Inflation and Pandemic Woes in 2022?
Wanting ahead, inflation and pandemic points will seemingly stay high buying and selling themes for playas in any market to observe within the first half of 2022, with inflation and financial coverage hypothesis prone to be the principle focus for FX merchants. Odds are that costs in most sectors will keep elevated (however rise at a lot slower charges than 2021) and we’re simply originally of a financial coverage tightening cycle, which is able to seemingly be an even bigger affect on relative forex efficiency than pandemic developments.
The Federal Reserve and the Financial institution of Canada are the following main central banks anticipated to start out elevating rates of interest given the excessive inflation situations and powerful jobs restoration information of their respective nations, making the U.S. Greenback and the Canadian Greenback the candidates with probably the most potential for 2022 outperformance among the many majors in the mean time.
On the opposite finish of the spectrum, the restoration in each Japan and Europe have been weak relative to the opposite main economies, in context to each pandemic and financial situations. The euro specifically appears to have excessive odds of underperformance as an vitality disaster within the European area and every day new an infection data considerably raises the percentages of financial misery and lowers the percentages of the European Central Financial institution taking away financial coverage assist any time quickly.
If these eventualities play out with no main exogenous surprises, the percentages are fairly good in the mean time that we’ll see the power in USD & CAD vs. weak point in EUR & JPY (as seen beneath) proceed into early 2022.
After all, the X think about all of that is the COVID-19 pandemic and which approach the world will progress in 2022. Proper now, we’re seeing rising document case counts across the globe, however we’re additionally seeing vaccines and booster photographs proceed to be distributed. Additionally on the horizon to assist are COVID-19 remedy drugs, which may be taken by those that are at excessive danger of changing into a extreme COVID-19 case.
Logically, this is able to recommend greater odds that 2022 would be the pandemic peak, however after seeing the rise of the Delta and Omicron variants in 2021, we will’t rule out the potential for one other variant coming alongside to shake the sport up a bit. If a extra harmful coronavirus variant does come alongside, then this situation will surely not solely affect financial expectations negatively, but in addition seemingly affect whether or not or not we’ll actually see a tightening financial coverage regime in 2022.
Fast and Wacky Predictions:
Corporations will begin requiring employees to return to workplace however staff are hesitant to ditch their WFH way of life, giving rise to “WFM” or “work-from-meta” as a compromise. The excellent news is that no person will discover anybody’s additional vacation weight (or is it lockdown weight) within the metaverse!
Extra 90s Themed Releases? 90s youngsters are massive and now accountable for manufacturing choices and you may guess that they’ll hold the ball rolling on bringing again their faves. Suppose they’ll cease at rebooting The Matrix or Intercourse and the Metropolis? Heck nah! Actually hoping for a Starship Troopers remake that’s truly pretty much as good as the unique!
Extra Asian popular culture hits? Western popular culture has embraced Asian content material this 12 months with hits like Squid Sport and Shang-Chi, whereas BTS was everywhere with collabs with Coldplay, Ed Sheeran, Megan Thee Stallion, and many others. We’re betting on Psy coming again to smash Spotify and Youtube data with a “Gangnam Type” remix that includes Justin Bieber, Olivia Rodrigo and naturally, Snoop Dogg.
Crypto adoption continues to speed up with over 1 billion folks changing into common lively customers in 2022. This area is so loopy and quick that any prediction truly wouldn’t be wacky, however we’ll take a shot and say that bitcoin and ether will lose the highest spots in 2022. They’ll seemingly get replaced by no matter Elon Musk (the crypto whisperer) says the highest crypto asset must be, however in actuality, one of the best performing crypto asset for 2022 in all probability hasn’t even been launched but.
Again-to-back champs? Final 12 months, we predicted that Tom Brady and the Buccaneers would win the Super Bowl over the Kansas City Chiefs…and it’s good to lastly get one proper! We’re gonna see if a damaged clock can actually be proper twice a day and go along with that sports activities prediction as soon as once more as a result of…nicely…why not!?
There ya have it, of us! These are a few of our wacky, and utterly ridiculous predictions for 2022, however we’re curious to seek out out what yours are. Please share within the feedback part beneath!