GBP value, information and evaluation:
- GBP/USD continues to look weak as a robust US Dollar outperforms most different currencies.
- Nonetheless, trendline assist and the 1.33 degree might not less than delay additional losses.
GBP/USD to check assist
GBP/USD has hit its lowest degree since simply earlier than Christmas final yr and there are few indicators but that its slide in opposition to a rampant US Greenback is over. Nonetheless, there’s a likelihood now that its decline may very well be halted, maybe solely briefly, by some vital assist ranges just under the present value.
GBP/USD Value Chart, Day by day Timeframe (December 2, 2020 – November 25, 2021)
Supply: IG (You possibly can click on on it for a bigger picture)
Particularly, because the chart above exhibits, it’s now near a trendline connecting the decrease lows in place since mid-April and which sits presently round 1.3290. That’s just under the 1.33 “spherical quantity” that would additionally present some assist forward of the December 2020 lows at 1.3188 after which 1.3134.
From a elementary perspective there may be nothing new to maneuver the Pound forward of the December 16 assembly of the Financial institution of England’s financial coverage committee, which is extensively anticipated to extend UK rates of interest.
Which means actions in GBP/USD shall be largely dictated by the US Greenback, which is benefiting from indications that the Federal Reserve will taper its support for the markets and lift rates of interest before as soon as anticipated because the climb in US shopper costs seems to be accelerating.
As for sentiment, IG shopper positioning knowledge proceed to ship out a bearish contrarian sign. The retail dealer knowledge present 74.24% of GBP/USD merchants are net-long, with the ratio of merchants lengthy to brief at 2.88 to 1. The variety of merchants net-long is 1.89% greater than yesterday and eight.91% greater than final week, whereas the variety of merchants net-short is 3.78% decrease than yesterday and 13.67% decrease than final week.
Right here at DailyFX, we sometimes take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the actual fact merchants are net-long suggests GBP/USD might proceed to fall.Merchants are additional net-long than yesterday and final week, and the mixture of present sentiment and up to date modifications offers us a stronger GBP/USD-bearish contrarian buying and selling bias.
— Written by Martin Essex, Analyst
Be happy to contact me on Twitter @MartinSEssex