Rand Fades After Combined South African GDP


  • Missed QoQ GDP hampers rand features.
  • USD/ZAR advances off key assist.


Stats SA have launched Q2 GDP information (see calendar beneath) for 2021 outperforming YoY estimates. The low base final 12 months displays an distinctive efficiency however relative numbers throughout different nations paints a unique image.

SA Q2 GDP (YoY):

sa GDP YoY

The QoQ print missed expectations which is probably going on account of the current civil unrest which induced many enterprise to droop buying and selling or shut fully. The rand opened buying and selling marginally decrease towards the U.S. dollar this morning with little ensuing from GDP information.

economic calendar sa gdp usd/zar

Supply: DailyFX economic calendar

The greenback appears to be steering the USD/ZAR pair at this level however with a dovish slant lingering type the Federal Reserve we’ve got seen a risk-on growth throughout monetary markets. With none excessive influence U.S. or South African information scheduled this week, this may occasionally possible proceed ceteris paribus. South African GDP is unlikely to immediate tightening by the South African Reserve Financial institution (SARB) any prior to anticipated which might favor USD/ZAR bulls as 12 months finish approached.




usd/zar daily chartr

Chart ready by Warren Venketas, IG

The day by day USD/ZAR chart reveals the august swing low at 14.2238 holding as bulls push off this key space of confluence. Trendline resistance (black) can be in focus and a day by day candle shut above might immediate additional upside for the remainder of the week. Regardless of a bearish crossover unfolding through the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) – 20-day EMA crossing beneath 50-day EMA, bulls are profitable the tig of battle at this level. There might be hesitancy round trendline resistance which might see costs fall decrease however the Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests the pair is in pending oversold territory. 14.0000 is just not out of the query with none greenback stimuli so warning is warranted. My long-term outlook stays is firmly bullish because the dismal native political and financial panorama endures. The U.S. appears way more optimistic which ought to spark upside in time to come back.

Resistance ranges:


— Written by Warren Venketas for DailyFX.com

Contact and comply with Warren on Twitter: @WVenketas

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